How to trade XAUUSD Spot Gold accurately on NFP Day: List of Piyush Ratnu’s NFP (Non-Farm Payrolls) projections Accuracy Review
Piyush Ratnu’s NFP (Non-Farm Payrolls) projections are a cornerstone of his “Quantamental” analysis. He typically provides two scenarios—Bullish and Bearish—based on his SR MTF (Support & Resistance Multi-Time Frame) zones.
Below is a consolidated table of his NFP day price projections and achieved targets for XAUUSD over the last five years.
XAUUSD NFP Day Price Projections (2021–2025)
| Year | NFP Month | Projected Bearish/Support Zones | Projected Bullish/Resistance Zones | Key Result / Note |
| 2025 | Dec | $4,141 / $4,040 / $3,939 | $4,444 / $4,545 / $4,646 | Target $4,444+ post-NFP. |
| 2025 | Apr | $3,030 / $3,232 | $3,408 / $3,485 | $3,408 achieved on April 16. |
| 2024 | Dec | $2,585 / $2,600 | $2,666 / $2,727 | History repeated with $100+ drop. |
| 2024 | June | $2,288 | $2,388 | $100 crash projected & achieved. |
| 2024 | Apr | $2,288 / $2,266 | $2,323 | Hit $2,323 on NFP day. |
| 2023 | Aug | $1,900 / $1,888 | $2,030 / $2,048 | Focus on $1,888 pivot. |
| 2023 | May | $1,947 / $1,926 | $2,009 / $2,048 | V-pattern recovery predicted. |
| 2022 | May | $1,866 / $1,836 | $1,907 / $1,926 | Price hit $1,866 after 1907 rejection. |
| 2022 | Jan | $1,777 / $1,818 | $1,845 / $1,866 | Start of year recovery zones. |
| 2021 | Aug | $1,677 / $1,717 | $1,777 / $1,790 | Flash crash re-test zones. |
| 2021 | July | $1,735 / $1,717 | $1,777 / $1,808 | 100% zones hit sequentially. |
Core Principles of Ratnu’s NFP Trading
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The 23.6% Rule: He primarily looks for a 23.6% Fibonacci retracement on M5 or M15 timeframes within 9–15 days after the NFP volatility spike.
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Price Trap Zones: He identifies “Trap Zones” (usually a $5–$15 range) where he advises against entering until the data is released and the first 20–40 minutes of volatility pass.
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Psychological Symmetry: You will notice his preference for symmetrical numbers ($2323, $2727, $3535, $4444). He views these as algorithmic magnet levels where high-frequency trading bots often take profit.
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The $1,888 Pivot: Historically, he treated $1,888 as the “Equilibrium Point” for gold. Most of his 2021–2023 NFP maps used this level to determine long-term direction.
NFP Day Price Projections (2020–2025)
These zones are typically released 2–4 hours before the NFP data and focus on high-frequency “rebound” levels.
| Year | Month | Projected Support/Buy Zones | Projected Resistance/Sell Zones | Result/Key Hit |
| 2025 | Dec | $4,141 / $4,040 | $4,444 / $4,545 | Current long-term targets. |
| 2025 | Feb | $2,780 / $2,800 | $3,030 / $3,050 | Target $3,050 hit in March. |
| 2024 | Nov | $2,680 – $2,700 | $2,750 / $2,828 | $2,685 low hit, then rally. |
| 2024 | June | $2,288 | $2,388 | $100 crash predicted. |
| 2023 | Aug | $1,888 / $1,907 | $1,966 / $1,985 | Focus on the $1,888 pivot. |
| 2022 | May | $1,836 / $1,866 | $1,907 / $1,926 | 1866 hit after FOMC/NFP. |
| 2021 | Aug | $1,677 / $1,685 | $1,777 / $1,818 | The “Flash Crash” rebound. |
| 2021 | Jan | $1,732 / $1,800 | $1,885 – $1,926 | 1885 identified as downtrend trigger. |
| 2020 | Aug | $1,866 / $1,888 | $2,069 / $2,075 | Targeted the 1866 buy zone. |
| 2020 | Mar | $1,450 / $1,550 | $1,685 / $1,735 | Pandemic “V” recovery zones. |
Historical Price Zones & “Magnet” Levels
Ratnu uses specific levels repeatedly across the years. He refers to these as “Historical SR MTF Zones.”
2024 – 2025: The Bullish Targets
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$4,444 / $4,545: His primary long-term “supercycle” targets for mid-to-late 2025.
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$3,535 / $3,636: Identified in late 2024 as the next major psychological breakout zones.
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$2,424: A famous projection made in January 2024, achieved in May 2024.
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$2,121: The key breakout pivot used in early 2024.
2022 – 2023: The $1,888 Era
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The $1,888 Magnet: Ratnu’s most cited level. He claimed that gold would always return to $1,888 as a central pivot.
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$1,616 – $1,685: The “Triple Bottom” zone he tracked throughout late 2022.
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$2,069 – $2,075: Defined as the “Double Top” resistance that capped gold for nearly three years.
2020 – 2021: Pandemic Volatility
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$2,020 in 2020: His most recognized call, published on March 30, 2020, predicting gold would hit $2,020 within the year (it hit $2,075 in August).
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$1,451: The March 2020 “Liquidity Trap” low which he identified as the ultimate buying floor.
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$1,777 / $1,818: Frequent “battleground” zones used throughout 2021 during the Fed’s tapering discussions.
Ratnu’s Analysis Methodology
If you are tracking these zones for trading, keep in mind his three core rules:
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The $18/36/45 Move: Most NFP trades are designed to exit after an $18 or $36 price movement from the entry zone.
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Repetitive Numbers: He focuses on algorithmic levels like $1919, $2020, $2121, etc., believing bots cluster orders there.
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The 8-Second Rule: His strategy often involves “Scalping” during high-impact news, aiming to book profit in under 10 seconds once a zone is hit.
